All people’s working for the weekend.
It is a restricted five-game Friday slate for NHL Picks, however I like the prospect for some fireworks out west within the late window.
NHL Season Stats: 5-17 (-11.07 Items)
Washington Capitals at Anaheim Geese
Over 6.5 (-110 Fanatics)
Anaheim’s goaltending state of affairs will get shakier by the day. Now they’re down their prime two netminders as Petr Mrazek (decrease physique) joins Lukas Dostal (higher physique) on the shelf. In steps journeyman Ville Husso and his 85.9% save proportion and -2.70 GSAA in just below three video games. He’s had some sporadic success over his 5+ seasons within the league — he carries a 90.1% profession save proportion — although he’s solely began 36 video games whole because the 2022–23 season.
He has a tricky project because the Caps rank second within the league with 3.48 objectives per 60 minutes, totally backed by their stage of play as their xGF ranks third at 3.41 per 60. Tom Wilson, recognized largely for his “aggressive” play (I’m being beneficiant), has developed into a significant offensive drive this season with 16 objectives and 14 assists in 28 video games.
In addition they make use of this Alex Ovechkin man who you could have heard of, and he’s nonetheless filling up the stat sheet at 14-15-29. The Caps max out their residing legend, as they’ve but to place him in throughout a defensive-zone faceoff state of affairs (he’s the one man within the league who’s performed no less than 100 minutes who can say that).
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The Geese rank simply behind the Caps at 3.43 objectives per 60, and if something, should ramp up the offense extra now that they’re quick in web and are a nasty defensive group to start with at 3.42 xGA per 60 minutes. Their opponent alone went over this whole on Wednesday because the Mammoth netted seven. The Caps, for his or her half, additionally hit the fortunate seven on Wednesday.
What may go fallacious? Effectively, the fourth a part of this equation is the Caps’ objective prevention — and they’re fairly good at it. Logan Thompson ought to get the beginning, and he has a 91.9% save proportion and 9.62 GSAA that ranks fourth within the league. The Caps rank second in precise objectives allowed per sport and eighth in anticipated objectives allowed.
However all the things else factors to some offense. As well as, the Caps may need some drained legs as they play their third sport in 4 nights in an oddly scheduled LA-to-San Jose-to-Anaheim swing.
Give me the Over.
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