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Everyone digs the long ball.
“Home runs” is one of those statistics that seems to hold more weight than others.
In two of the last three years, Aaron Judge has led the league in dingers. The year he didn’t lead Major League Baseball in homers, he missed nearly 60 games.
Let’s take a look at the odds on who is favored to lead the major leagues in home runs in 2025 at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Aug. 29.
Most regular-season home runs
Kyle Schwarber: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
Cal Raleigh: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Shohei Ohtani: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Aaron Judge: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
All of a sudden, Kyle Schwarber has become the best home-run hitter in baseball.
On Thursday, the Phillies star crushed four homers in a 19-4 rout of Atlanta, making him the 21st player in MLB history — and fourth in franchise history — to go deep four times in a game. That historic night boosted his season total to 49, just one behind league-leader Cal Raleigh (50).
Raleigh, who won the 2025 Home Run Derby, has stayed hot with three home runs in his last six games. Schwarber, meanwhile, had gone six games without a homer before Thursday’s outburst.
Behind them, Shohei Ohtani sits at 45 home runs, Eugenio Suárez at 42 and Aaron Judge at 41.
Judge and Ohtani had quite the race last season, with the Yankees superstar hitting 58 and the Dodgers superstar finishing with 54 (he also added in 59 stolen bases).
Meanwhile, Raleigh wasn’t in the conversation then, with just 34 homers last season and 30 the year before.
In 2022, Judge hit a career-high and American League record 62 home runs, and after last season, he has three seasons tallying over 50 home runs in a single season (2017, 2022, 2024).
No active player outside of Judge has hit 60 or more home runs in a season, and no player in the NL has hit 60 or more since Barry Bonds mashed 73 in 2001.
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