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Sep 14, 2025; Kansas Metropolis, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Eagles middle Cam Jurgens (51) and guard Landon Dickerson (69) on the line of scrimmage towards the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in the course of the second half of the sport at GEHA Subject at Arrowhead Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Denny Medley-Imagn Photographs The Philadelphia Eagles will host the Chicago Bears on Black Friday. The Eagles are coming off one of many worst blown leads of the NFL season, however they nonetheless personal an 8-3 document. The Bears have discovered a surprising quantity of success, posting the identical 8-3 document.
The Eagles have discovered drastically extra success at dwelling this season. They’re averaging .315 factors per play this yr, and that quantity jumps to .418 at dwelling. They’re giving up 25.6 factors per sport in these contests.
Philadelphia can also be higher defensively at dwelling. They’re permitting solely .318 factors per play and simply 19.2 factors per sport in these matchups.
Though I do just like the Eagles at dwelling, the Bears on the highway is the larger edge. As is the case with most groups led by a younger quarterback, Chicago has been considerably higher at dwelling all through the 2025 season.
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The Bears are averaging a wholesome .436 factors per play in Chicago this season, rating seventh within the NFL. That quantity drops to .384 on the highway, which bumps them out of the highest 10.
Unsurprisingly, Chicago’s protection can also be worse away from dwelling. They rank 14th in factors allowed per play at dwelling (.334). That quantity balloons to a league-high .543 on the highway this season.
This appears like the proper alternative to promote excessive on Chicago whereas shopping for low on Philadelphia. I don’t anticipate the Bears to be on the prime of the NFC North by season’s finish, and I do anticipate the Eagles to complete with one of many NFL’s greatest data.
Granted, I’m not the very best particular person on the earth on Philadelphia—particularly with their questionable decision-making at head coach. That is nonetheless a spot the place I can confidently keep away from the Bears on the highway.
Chicago is among the largest surprises within the NFL, and I don’t purchase into them. Ultimately, they’re going to regress from these ridiculous wins, and it is a scenario the place we wouldn’t be shocked if the Bears have been a four-win group.
General, I imagine we’re one playoff group right here with real Tremendous Bowl aspirations. They’re in a get-right spot towards a group with a document that oversells who they really are. It’s additionally vital to notice that Chicago is coping with a plethora of accidents, making this process much more tough.
The place to Guess: Philadelphia Eagles -7 unfold | +100 at ESPN Guess
2025 NFL Season Betting Report: 20-26
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