The Kansas Metropolis Chiefs will journey for a matchup in opposition to the New York Giants on Sunday Night time Soccer. Each groups enter the sport with 0-2 data, attempting to avoid wasting their seasons. It’s already tough to make the playoffs with no win by two weeks, however a 3rd loss can be an early kiss of demise.
We’re taking the over right here, however I wish to be clear that I’m not backing both offense. I’m attacking the defenses — particularly their go rushes. That’s the important thing to the over on this sport.
Kansas Metropolis leads the NFL in blitz price (43.9%) by two video games. Additionally they rank eighth-last in strain price (15.2%) this season. Granted, they’ve had two tough matchups to begin the 2025 season, however it’s a recipe for catastrophe if this can be a long-term situation.
Russell Wilson isn’t a superb quarterback at this level in his profession, however we all know he can nonetheless throw the deep ball. He’s finishing almost 70% of his passes whereas averaging 8.9 yards per try when stored clear this season. He additionally flashed loads of potential in 2024 when he wasn’t pressured, and this probably isn’t a fluke.
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On the opposite facet, New York ranks tenth within the NFL in blitz price (30.5%) in 2025. Just like the Chiefs, it hasn’t mattered, because the Giants additionally rank fifth-last in strain price (13.7%) by two video games.
Patrick Mahomes is the kind of participant who can carry out nicely in opposition to any protection. He doesn’t want a clear pocket to seek out success, however that doesn’t imply it doesn’t assist. Unsurprisingly, Mahomes is elite when given time within the pocket, and I don’t count on that to alter this week.
The opposite facet is that this time permits for deep pictures to develop. Kansas Metropolis carried out nicely when it comes to limiting massive performs in opposition to the Philadelphia Eagles, however they gave up a number of massive performs to the Los Angeles Chargers. We all know New York can rating in a rush, and we noticed that upside in opposition to the Dallas Cowboys final week.
Just like the Chiefs, the Giants are a protection that can permit chunk performs. They’ve struggled defensively in each video games, and it isn’t more likely to get higher in opposition to Kansas Metropolis this week.
We’re in a spot the place the Chiefs have to get again on observe, and this is likely one of the finest matchups their offense might ask for. They probably aren’t as elite as a number of years in the past, however they’ll discover success right here. The Giants additionally boast sufficient upside to flash at occasions in opposition to this protection, making the full a bit too low.
The place to Wager: Kansas Metropolis Chiefs/New York Giants over 44.5 whole factors | -105 at ESPN Wager
2025 NFL Season Betting Report: 4-5
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