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Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
This time last summer, Las Vegas bookmakers had plenty of questions about the Washington Commanders — and it made sense why.
The team moved on from veteran head coach Ron Rivera, brought in a brand-new staff and drafted LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels with the second overall pick.
Their season win total was set at [O/U] 6.5 video games.
All of the Commanders did was trip Daniels to a 12-5 report, a highway playoff win over the top-seeded Detroit Lions and a berth within the NFC Championship Recreation towards the eventual world champion Philadelphia Eagles.
Washington was two unhealthy quarters away from the Tremendous Bowl.
The query now’s, can they run it again?
It’s a polarizing query within the betting markets, the place the Commanders are totaled at [O/U] 9.5 wins with costs as little as 2/1 to win the NFC East and 9/1 to win the convention.
They’re additionally favored (-145) to make the playoffs.
Washington will want Daniels to keep away from the ol’ 12 months 2 regression and it feels paramount that the crew efficiently navigates wideout Terry McLaurin’s latest commerce request. McLaurin has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in 5 straight seasons, and he caught a career-best 13 touchdowns final yr.
“There’s urgency to signal Terry,” a supply close to the Commanders advised me. “He’s their greatest playmaker and the most effective deep threats within the NFL. They’re making an attempt to construct round Daniels the way in which Baltimore did with Lamar Jackson.”
We’ll see if either side can attain an settlement.
Daniels is the unquestioned headliner after finishing 69% of his passes for 3,500 yards and 25 touchdowns as a rookie. He rushed for nearly 900 yards and added six extra scores on the bottom, too.
Individuals gush over his instincts and decision-making expertise.
“They do a variety of digital actuality drills with him behind closed doorways at tremendous velocity,” the supply continued. “After they problem him mentally, they get extra out of him. They know he’ll be able to go bodily.
“It’s powerful to search out anybody in that constructing who thinks final yr was a fluke.”
Respect for Daniels is not any totally different amongst bettors and bookmakers, both. Solely Jackson, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes have shorter odds to win league MVP at sportsbooks throughout the US.
The hype is actual.
Jayden Daniels’ 2025 NFL MVP odds
DraftKings: +750 (wager $10 to win $85 whole)
BetMGM: +850 (wager $10 to win $95 whole)
Caesars: +900 (wager $10 to win $100 whole)
SuperBook: +1000 (wager $10 to win $110 whole)
FanDuel: +1000 (wager $10 to win $110 whole)
Circa: +1300 (wager $10 to win $140 whole)
I’m hesitant to say the Commanders will match final yr’s shock playoff run and expectations are understandably totally different whenever you’re making an attempt to maintain success. However offseason additions like Deebo Samuel, Laremy Tunsil, Von Miller and Javon Kinlaw present optimism for double-digit victories.
It’ll additionally assist if Washington converts near 79% of its fourth-down conversions, a hit price that led the league a yr in the past.
Assuming McLaurin returns to the fold, I like Washington’s Over.
PICK: Commanders (-110) Over 9.5 wins
Sam Panayotovich is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and the BetMGM Community. He beforehand labored for WGN Radio, NBC Sports activities and VSiN. Observe him on Twitter @spshoot.
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